forms of money today- Top Top stories

Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.

Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.Trump supports that American dockers' employers should not replace them with automated equipment. US President-elect Donald Trump met with the leaders of the International Dockers' Association on Thursday and expressed his support for the dockers' union. The union's strike in October led to the closure of ports in the east and the Gulf Coast, and may now strike again. Trump met with Harold Daggett, chairman of the labor union, and Dennis Daggett, his son and executive vice chairman, and then posted on social media: "I have studied automation and know almost everything about it. The money saved is far less than the anxiety, pain and harm it brings to American workers. " The union's strike in October closed all major container ports from Houston to Miami to Boston for three days, and then the union agreed to return to work in exchange for a 61.5% contract salary increase in the next six years.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.

In the communication service sector, the daily limit of Bee Assistant was higher, and the communication service sector was higher. The daily limit of Xiangjiang and Bee Assistant in the city was higher. Three-dimensional communication and Beiwei Technology were previously closed, and Runze Technology rose by more than 10%. Century Hengtong, Halo New Network, Chaoxun Communication, Guangmai Technology and Runjian shares followed suit.Bawang Chaji hired a new CFO from McDonald's. It is reported that Huang Hongfei, the former CFO of McDonald's China, left his post on October 14, 2024, and after a short break, he joined Bawang Chaji. According to informed sources, this move means that the listing process of Bawang Tea Ji is expected to accelerate.The Philippines' current account deficit in the third quarter was $5.7 billion.